The US dollar index rebounded nearly 100 points, and gold hit the 3500 mark and then plunged more than $130!

On April 23, in the early trading of Asia on Wednesday, Beijing time, the US dollar index hovered around 99.30. On Tuesday, the dollar index rebounded nearly 100 points at a low of nearly a hundred points, finally closing up 0.634% to 98.98, amid optimistic expectations of U.S. tariff trade negotiations. U.S. Treasury yields rose and fell, with the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields closed at 4.4%; and the two-year U.S. Treasury yields, which are more sensitive to monetary policy, closed at 3.825%. As global trade tensions eased, boosted risk sentiment and the dollar strengthened, spot gold surged and fell back, hitting the $3,500 mark historic during the session and then fell sharply by more than $130, and finally closed down 1.24% at $3,382.17 per ounce. Spot silver also showed an inverted V trend, and failed to challenge the $33 mark again, and finally closed down 0.59% at $32.48 per ounce. International crude oil rebounded from a sharp sell-off on the previous trading day as the U.S. imposed new sanctions on Iran and stock markets rose. WTI crude oil once stood above the 64 mark and finally closed up 1.28% to $63.41 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 1.06% to $66.44 per barrel.

Analysis of major currencies

Dollar Index: As of press time, the US dollar index hovers around 99.30. U.S. President Trump said he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Powell despite his frustration that the Fed failed to lower interest rates faster. Trump has repeatedly aihuaforex.complained that the Fed has not cut interest rates quickly enough. Trump reiterated the criticism on Tuesday, while insisting that the outside world's reaction to his remarks was "exaggerated". Technically, the U.S. dollar index is trying to close above resistance at 98.80–99.00. If this attempt is successful, the US dollar index willMove towards 50MA at 99.70. .

Euro: As of press time, the euro/dollar hovers around 1.1396. The euro/dollar is under pressure from a rebound in demand for the dollar. The dollar resumed rising after U.S. President Donald Trump said he had no intention of firing Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, though he was frustrated by the central bank's failure to cut interest rates faster. Technically, if the EUR/USD closes below support level 1.1450–1.1470, it will move towards 50MA1.1375.

GBP: As of press time, GBP/USD is hovering around 1.3300. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's aihuaforex.comments suggest that U.S.-China trade tensions have eased, boosting market optimism and making the dollar stronger against the pound. Technically, the closest support level of GBP/USD is in the range of 1.3300–1.3320. A break below the 1.3300 level will open the way for testing the next support level 1.3180–1.3200.

Analysis of gold and crude oil market trends

1) Analysis of gold market trends

Which trading was held in Asian trading, gold trading was around 3365.46. Gold prices fell intraday in Asia on Wednesday, which was related to aihuaforex.comments by Trump saying he did not intend to fire Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Recently, U.S. President Donald Trump said he had no intention of firing Powell. He said: The media always exaggerates. No, I have no intention of firing him. I hope he can be more positive about the idea of ​​lowering interest rates.

Technical: The upward trend of gold is still intact, but the situation of falling below $3,400 is short-lived, and precious metals have recovered some gains. If a buyer wants to retest $3500, they have to go above $3450 again before testing all-time highs. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has turned over to overbought, failing to reach 80 could pave the way for a pullback in gold. On the downside, if gold closes below $3400 on the daily basis, it may push the gold price to $3350, followed by $3300.

2) Analysis of crude oil market trends

On Wednesday, crude oil trading around 64.08. As uncertainty in US monetary policy deepens, the probability of an economic recession is close to 50%, which has set a red light for crude oil demand. Iran's nuclear negotiations were obtainedProgress has eased sanctions pressure and could increase crude oil supply in the region. Traders will also look at the speeches of several Fed officials later this week, hoping to find clues to future monetary policy in amid concerns about the Fed’s independence. This trading day will also release the initial value of the euro zone and the US SPGI manufacturing PMI in April. Investors also need to pay attention to the news related to the geopolitical situation in Russia and Ukraine.

Technical: WTI crude oil broke through the key price of $63.06, laying the foundation for a possible move towards last week's high of $64.18. A breakout above this level may open the road to $67.74 (50-day moving average) and potentially reach $71.44 (where the 200-day moving average is located). But any move back below $63.06 may indicate a new downside risk, with $59.33 set to be the next key support level. Although technically showing that WTI maintains a short-term bullish trend above $63.06, the overall situation remains relatively fragile. Trade tensions, Fed credibility issues and the development of Iran's supply all pose potential adverse factors. Unless WTI decisively breaks above $64.18, it tends to be cautiously bearish, especially if risk aversion in financial markets deepens.

Forex market trading reminder on April 23, 2025

To be determined G20 Finance and Central Bank Ministerial Meeting held

15:15France April Manufacturing PMI Initial Value

15:30German April Manufacturing PMI Initial Value

16:00Eurozone April Manufacturing PMI Initial Value

16:30Eurozone April Manufacturing PMI Initial Value

16:30Eurozone April Services PMI Initial Value

17:00Eurozone February Seasonal Adjusted Trade Account

21:30Feder Mousalem and Waller delivered speeches

21: 45 The initial value of S&P Global Manufacturing PMI in the United States in April

21:45 The initial value of S&P Global Services PMI in the United States in April

22:00 The total number of new home sales in the United States in March

22:30 The week of EIA to April 18

22:30 The week of EIA to April 18

22:30 The week of EIA to April 18

22:30 The week of EIA to April 18

22:30 The week of EIA to April 18

The next day, the Fed announced the Beige Book of Economic Conditions

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